Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.007092 0.007953 0.008891 0.009994 0.011256 0.012659 0.014343
2025-02-23 0.005615 0.006758 0.008111 0.009840 0.012006 0.014649 0.018147
2025-03-02 0.004905 0.006186 0.007786 0.009953 0.012840 0.016601 0.021944
2025-03-09 0.004333 0.005668 0.007409 0.009877 0.013337 0.018092 0.025260
2025-03-16 0.003783 0.005097 0.006872 0.009483 0.013301 0.018790 0.027494
2025-03-23 0.003450 0.004776 0.006623 0.009439 0.013719 0.020142 0.030828
2025-03-30 0.003306 0.004698 0.006699 0.009856 0.014845 0.022661 0.036322
2025-04-06 0.002994 0.004344 0.006332 0.009557 0.014815 0.023347 0.038875
2025-04-13 0.002734 0.004042 0.006014 0.009294 0.014801 0.024034 0.041498
2025-04-20 0.002561 0.003859 0.005858 0.009269 0.015166 0.025386 0.045490
2025-04-27 0.002479 0.003808 0.005903 0.009574 0.016120 0.027870 0.051978
2025-05-04 0.002338 0.003651 0.005763 0.009548 0.016479 0.029309 0.056627
2025-05-11 0.002227 0.003540 0.005699 0.009665 0.017146 0.031475 0.063287
2025-05-18 0.002080 0.003359 0.005503 0.009532 0.017335 0.032755 0.068326
2025-05-25 0.001987 0.003263 0.005444 0.009640 0.017996 0.035063 0.076080
2025-06-01 0.001876 0.003124 0.005298 0.009567 0.018285 0.036629 0.082398
2025-06-08 0.001729 0.002914 0.005007 0.009187 0.017901 0.036691 0.085053
2025-06-15 0.001643 0.002806 0.004893 0.009144 0.018217 0.038343 0.092055
2025-06-22 0.001622 0.002815 0.004997 0.009546 0.019536 0.042472 0.106470
2025-06-29 0.001516 0.002658 0.004775 0.009258 0.019292 0.042874 0.110713
2025-07-06 0.001422 0.002519 0.004578 0.009005 0.019100 0.043378 0.115357
2025-07-13 0.001361 0.002440 0.004493 0.008980 0.019435 0.045243 0.124463
2025-07-20 0.001340 0.002434 0.004551 0.009275 0.020560 0.049309 0.141344